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Arne Johan Pollestad

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Arne Johan Pollestad

PhD Candidate
NTNU Business School

arne.j.pollestad@ntnu.no
+4793834506 Adolf Øien-bygget, Gløshaugen
Google Scholar
About Research Publications Teaching Outreach

About

Arne Johan Pollestad is a PhD candidate in Real Estate Finance at the NTNU Business School. His research focuses on automated valuation models, house price uncertainty, energy-efficient housing, climate risk, and ESG, reflecting his interest in topics at the intersection of real estate finance, technology, and sustainability.

Pollestad holds an MSc in Economics and Business Administration from the Norwegian School of Economics (NHH), with a specialization in Business Analytics. Following his MSc, he joined NTNU as a researcher and lecturer while pursuing his PhD. He has taught in courses at both graduate and doctoral level, including Data Science, Big Data in Real Estate Finance, and Forecasting Methods in Economics and Finance. Additionally, he has co-supervised master’s theses for students specializing in both Business Analytics and Finance at NTNU.

His research has been featured in field-leading academic journals such as the Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics. Pollestad also contributes to the academic community as a reviewer for prominent journals like the Journal of Real Estate Research.

In 2024, he was honored with a prestigious Fulbright Norway academic grant to support a six-month research stay in the United States.

Competencies

  • Business Analytics
  • Energy Efficiency
  • Explainable AI
  • Machine Learning
  • Real Estate Finance
  • Sustainable Housing
  • Uncertainty Quantification
  • Valuation

Research

Pollestad is a member of Centre for Real Estate and Environmental Economics at the NTNU Business School. 

For publications in peer-reviewed journals, see the "Publications" folder.

Working papers:

  • "European Energy Crisis: Did Electricity Prices Shock Real Estate Markets?" (with B. Brolinson, W. Doerner, and M. Seiler). FHFA Working Paper 24-10. Under revission in Journal of Environmental Economics and Management.
  • "Comparing housing valuation techniques: Exploiting Explainable AI" (with A. Oust and O. J. Sønstebø). Under revission in Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics.
  • "The Price of Protection: Do Flood Defenses Matter to Home Buyers?" (with M. Ramzan, M. Seiler, and O. J. Sønstebø). Under revision in Real Estate Economics.
  • "Combining House Price Predictions with AI-Uncertainty Estimates" (with A. Oust and O. J. Sønstebø).
  • "Improving AVM Accuracy by Including Historical Sales Data" (with A. Oust).
  • "Board Diversity and Carbon Emissions:  A Comparative Study Using Machine Learning and Panel Regression Approaches" (with M. H. Shakil)
  • Centre for Real Estate and Environmental Economics

Publications

For working papers, see the "Research" folder.

  • Chronological
  • By category
  • See all publications in Cristin

2025

  • Shakil, Mohammad Hassan; Pollestad, Arne Johan; Kyaw, Khine Aye Myat. (2025) Environmental, social and governance controversies and systematic risk: A machine learning approach. Finance Research Letters
    Academic article
  • Pollestad, Arne Johan; Oust, Are. (2025) Harnessing uncertainty: a new approach to real estate investment decision support. Quantitative finance (Print)
    Academic article
  • Pollestad, Arne Johan. (2025) Avoiding Costly Mistakes with Uncertainty Quantification for Algorithmic Home Valuations. Towards Data Science
    Popular scientific article

2024

  • Oust, Are; Pollestad, Arne Johan. (2024) Høye strømpriser kan koste deg mer enn du tror. Dagens næringsliv
    Feature article
  • Pollestad, Arne Johan; Næss, Arild Brandrud; Oust, Are. (2024) Towards a Better Uncertainty Quantification in Automated Valuation Models. Journal of real estate finance and economics
    Academic article

2022

  • Helgaker, Eirik; Oust, Are; Pollestad, Arne Johan. (2022) Adverse selection in iBuyer business models—don’t buy lemons!. ZIÖ - Zeitschrift für Immobilienökonomie
    Academic article

Journal publications

  • Shakil, Mohammad Hassan; Pollestad, Arne Johan; Kyaw, Khine Aye Myat. (2025) Environmental, social and governance controversies and systematic risk: A machine learning approach. Finance Research Letters
    Academic article
  • Pollestad, Arne Johan; Oust, Are. (2025) Harnessing uncertainty: a new approach to real estate investment decision support. Quantitative finance (Print)
    Academic article
  • Pollestad, Arne Johan. (2025) Avoiding Costly Mistakes with Uncertainty Quantification for Algorithmic Home Valuations. Towards Data Science
    Popular scientific article
  • Oust, Are; Pollestad, Arne Johan. (2024) Høye strømpriser kan koste deg mer enn du tror. Dagens næringsliv
    Feature article
  • Pollestad, Arne Johan; Næss, Arild Brandrud; Oust, Are. (2024) Towards a Better Uncertainty Quantification in Automated Valuation Models. Journal of real estate finance and economics
    Academic article
  • Helgaker, Eirik; Oust, Are; Pollestad, Arne Johan. (2022) Adverse selection in iBuyer business models—don’t buy lemons!. ZIÖ - Zeitschrift für Immobilienökonomie
    Academic article

Teaching

Pollestad has taught in the following courses during his years at NTNU:

  • BBAN4001 - Data Science
  • BBAN4025 - Big Data in Real Estate Finance
  • IØ8304 - Forecasting Methods in Economics and Finance

Supervision

Pollestad has co-supervised master’s theses for students specializing in both Business Analytics and Finance at NTNU.

Outreach

2025

  • Academic lecture
    Pollestad, Arne Johan. (2025) European Energy Crisis: Did Electricity Prices Shock Real Estate Markets?. American Real Estate Society ARES Annual Conference 2025 , Tucson, Arizona 2025-04-08 - 2025-04-12

2024

  • Academic lecture
    Pollestad, Arne Johan. (2024) Harnessing Uncertainty: A New Approach to Real Estate Investment Decision Support. American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, Maastricht University’s School of Business and Economics, & the University of Curaçao Dr. Moises da Costa Gomez AREUEA International Conference 2024 , Curaçao 2024-06-23 - 2024-06-26
  • Academic lecture
    Pollestad, Arne Johan. (2024) Harnessing Uncertainty: A New Approach to Real Estate Investment Decision Support. Inland School of Business and Social Sciences Lillehammer Business Analytics Workshop 2024 , Lillehammer 2024-05-22 - 2024-05-24
  • Academic lecture
    Pollestad, Arne Johan. (2024) Harnessing Uncertainty: A New Approach to Real Estate Investment Decision Support. KTH Institute of Technology Real Estate Markets and Capital Markets (ReCapNet) Conference 2024 , Stockholm 2024-10-28 - 2024-10-29
  • Academic lecture
    Pollestad, Arne Johan. (2024) European Energy Crisis: Did Electricity Prices Shock Real Estate Markets?. Federal Housing Finance Agency FHFA Working Paper Seminar , Remote 2024-12-09 - 2024-12-09

2023

  • Academic lecture
    Pollestad, Arne Johan. (2023) Towards a Better Uncertainty Quantification in Automated Valuation Models. Elsevier & FGV EBAPE Elsevier Finance Conference , Rio de Janeiro 2023-11-16 - 2023-11-18
  • Academic lecture
    Pollestad, Arne Johan. (2023) Towards a Better Uncertainty Quantification in Automated Valuation Models. Malmö University Malmö Real Estate Conference 2023 , Malmö, Sweden 2023-05-04 - 2023-05-05
  • Academic lecture
    Pollestad, Arne Johan. (2023) AVMU - Automated Valuation Model Uncertainty. Adam Smith Business School of the University of Glasgow & Bayes Business School of City University of London Finance and Business Analytics Conference 2023 , Lefkada, Greece 2023-06-07 - 2023-06-09

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