Charles Robert Butcher
About
My research interests include the onset and dynamics of resistance movements in authoritarian states, especially how variations in organizational participation influence the long and short-term outcomes of these movements. I am a PI on the 'Anatomy of Resistance Campaigns' (ARC) project which aims to understand how different networks of organizations in collective dissent influence the prospects of sustainable democratization. I am also interested in understanding the onset of armed conflicts, the use of violence against civilians by armed groups in war and understanding the structure and dynamics of historical and non-western state systems.
Publications
2025
-
Butcher, Charles Robert;
Griffiths, Ryan.
(2025)
Before Colonization: Nonwestern States and Systems in the Nineteenth Century.
Columbia University Press
Columbia University Press
Academic monograph
2023
-
Braithwaite, Jessica Maves;
Butcher, Charles Robert.
(2023)
Muddying the Waters: The Anatomy of Resistance Campaigns and the Failure of Ceasefires in Civil Wars.
Journal of Conflict Resolution
Academic article
2022
-
Wishman, Marius;
Butcher, Charles.
(2022)
Beyond ethnicity: historical states and modern conflict.
European Journal of International Relations
Academic article
-
Butcher, Charles Robert;
Dahl, Marianne.
(2022)
Krigen i Ukraina handler om demokrati.
Aftenposten (morgenutg. : trykt utg.)
Feature article
-
Butcher, Charles;
Griffiths, Ryan.
(2022)
Three Forms of Heteronomy.
International Studies Quarterly
Academic article
-
Butcher, Charles;
Braithwaite, Jessica Maves;
Pinckney, Jonathan;
Haugseth, Eirin;
Bakken, Ingrid Vik;
Wishman, Marius.
(2022)
Introducing the Anatomy of Resistance Campaigns (ARC) dataset.
Journal of Peace Research
Academic article
-
Butcher, Charles;
Pinckney, Jonathan.
(2022)
Friday on My Mind: Re-Assessing the Impact of Protest Size on Government Concessions.
Journal of Conflict Resolution
Academic article
-
Pinckney, Jonathan;
Butcher, Charles;
Braithwaite, Jessica.
(2022)
Organizations, Resistance and Democracy: How Civil Society Organizations Impact Democratization.
International Studies Quarterly
Academic article
2021
-
Butcher, Charles;
Griffiths, Ryan.
(2021)
Quantitative Approaches: Towards comparative and trans-regional approaches in Historical International Relations .
Routledge
Academic chapter/article/Conference paper
2020
-
Butcher, Charles;
Griffiths, Ryan.
(2020)
States and their International Relations Since 1816: Introducing Version 2 of the International System(s) Dataset (ISD).
International Interactions
Academic article
-
Butcher, Charles;
Goldsmith, Benjamin;
Nanlohy, Sascha;
Sowmya, Arcot;
Muchlinski, David.
(2020)
Introducing the Targeted Mass Killing Dataset for the Study and Forecasting of Mass Atrocities.
Journal of Conflict Resolution
Academic article
-
Butcher, Charles;
Griffiths, Ryan.
(2020)
War, Interaction Capacity and the Structures of State Systems.
International Theory
Academic article
2018
-
Butcher, Charles;
Gray, John Laidlaw;
Mitchell, Liesel.
(2018)
Striking it Free? Organized labor and the outcomes of civil resistance.
Journal of Global Security Studies (JoGGS)
Academic article
2017
-
Nanlohy, Sascha;
Butcher, Charles;
Goldsmith, Benjamin E.
(2017)
The Policy Value of Quantitative Atrocity Forecasting Models.
RUSI Journal
Academic article
-
Butcher, Charles;
Griffiths, Ryan D.
(2017)
Between Eurocentrism and Babel: A Framework for the Analysis of States, State Systems, and International Orders.
International Studies Quarterly
Academic article
-
Butcher, Charles;
Anderton, Charles;
Brauer, Jurgen.
(2017)
Mass Killing.
John Wiley & Sons
Chapter
-
Butcher, Charles.
(2017)
Geography and the outcomes of civil resistance and civil war.
Third World Quarterly
Academic article
-
Goldsmith, Benjamin;
Butcher, Charles.
(2017)
Genocide Forecasting: Past Accuracy and New Forecasts to 2020.
Journal of Genocide Research
Academic article
-
Butcher, Charles;
Goldsmith, Benjamin.
(2017)
Elections, Ethnicity, and Political Instability.
Comparative Political Studies
Academic article
2016
-
Butcher, Charles;
Goldsmith, Benjamin.
(2016)
Economic Risk Factors and Predictive Modeling of Genocides and Other Mass Atrocities.
Oxford University Press
Academic chapter/article/Conference paper
2015
-
Butcher, Charles.
(2015)
‘Capital punishment’ Bargaining and the geography of civil war.
Journal of Peace Research
Academic article
-
Butcher, Charles;
Griffiths, Ryan.
(2015)
Alternative international systems? System structure and violent conflict in nineteenth-century West Africa, Southeast Asia, and South Asia.
Review of International Studies
Academic article
2014
-
Sutton, Jonathan;
Butcher, Charles;
Svensson, Isak.
(2014)
Explaining political jiu-jitsu: Institution-building and the outcomes of regime violence against unarmed protests.
Journal of Peace Research
Academic article
-
Butcher, Charles;
Svensson, Isak.
(2014)
Manufacturing Dissent:
Modernization and the Onset of Major Nonviolent Resistance Campaigns.
Journal of Conflict Resolution
Academic article
2013
-
Griffiths, Ryan;
Butcher, Charles.
(2013)
Introducing the international system (s) dataset (ISD), 1816–2011.
International Interactions
Academic article
-
Goldsmith, Benjamin;
Butcher, Charles;
Sowmya, Arcot;
Semenovich, Dimitri.
(2013)
Forecasting the onset of genocide and politicide: Annual out-of-sample forecasts on a global dataset, 1988–2003.
Journal of Peace Research
Academic article
Journal publications
-
Braithwaite, Jessica Maves;
Butcher, Charles Robert.
(2023)
Muddying the Waters: The Anatomy of Resistance Campaigns and the Failure of Ceasefires in Civil Wars.
Journal of Conflict Resolution
Academic article
-
Wishman, Marius;
Butcher, Charles.
(2022)
Beyond ethnicity: historical states and modern conflict.
European Journal of International Relations
Academic article
-
Butcher, Charles Robert;
Dahl, Marianne.
(2022)
Krigen i Ukraina handler om demokrati.
Aftenposten (morgenutg. : trykt utg.)
Feature article
-
Butcher, Charles;
Griffiths, Ryan.
(2022)
Three Forms of Heteronomy.
International Studies Quarterly
Academic article
-
Butcher, Charles;
Braithwaite, Jessica Maves;
Pinckney, Jonathan;
Haugseth, Eirin;
Bakken, Ingrid Vik;
Wishman, Marius.
(2022)
Introducing the Anatomy of Resistance Campaigns (ARC) dataset.
Journal of Peace Research
Academic article
-
Butcher, Charles;
Pinckney, Jonathan.
(2022)
Friday on My Mind: Re-Assessing the Impact of Protest Size on Government Concessions.
Journal of Conflict Resolution
Academic article
-
Pinckney, Jonathan;
Butcher, Charles;
Braithwaite, Jessica.
(2022)
Organizations, Resistance and Democracy: How Civil Society Organizations Impact Democratization.
International Studies Quarterly
Academic article
-
Butcher, Charles;
Griffiths, Ryan.
(2020)
States and their International Relations Since 1816: Introducing Version 2 of the International System(s) Dataset (ISD).
International Interactions
Academic article
-
Butcher, Charles;
Goldsmith, Benjamin;
Nanlohy, Sascha;
Sowmya, Arcot;
Muchlinski, David.
(2020)
Introducing the Targeted Mass Killing Dataset for the Study and Forecasting of Mass Atrocities.
Journal of Conflict Resolution
Academic article
-
Butcher, Charles;
Griffiths, Ryan.
(2020)
War, Interaction Capacity and the Structures of State Systems.
International Theory
Academic article
-
Butcher, Charles;
Gray, John Laidlaw;
Mitchell, Liesel.
(2018)
Striking it Free? Organized labor and the outcomes of civil resistance.
Journal of Global Security Studies (JoGGS)
Academic article
-
Nanlohy, Sascha;
Butcher, Charles;
Goldsmith, Benjamin E.
(2017)
The Policy Value of Quantitative Atrocity Forecasting Models.
RUSI Journal
Academic article
-
Butcher, Charles;
Griffiths, Ryan D.
(2017)
Between Eurocentrism and Babel: A Framework for the Analysis of States, State Systems, and International Orders.
International Studies Quarterly
Academic article
-
Butcher, Charles.
(2017)
Geography and the outcomes of civil resistance and civil war.
Third World Quarterly
Academic article
-
Goldsmith, Benjamin;
Butcher, Charles.
(2017)
Genocide Forecasting: Past Accuracy and New Forecasts to 2020.
Journal of Genocide Research
Academic article
-
Butcher, Charles;
Goldsmith, Benjamin.
(2017)
Elections, Ethnicity, and Political Instability.
Comparative Political Studies
Academic article
-
Butcher, Charles.
(2015)
‘Capital punishment’ Bargaining and the geography of civil war.
Journal of Peace Research
Academic article
-
Butcher, Charles;
Griffiths, Ryan.
(2015)
Alternative international systems? System structure and violent conflict in nineteenth-century West Africa, Southeast Asia, and South Asia.
Review of International Studies
Academic article
-
Sutton, Jonathan;
Butcher, Charles;
Svensson, Isak.
(2014)
Explaining political jiu-jitsu: Institution-building and the outcomes of regime violence against unarmed protests.
Journal of Peace Research
Academic article
-
Butcher, Charles;
Svensson, Isak.
(2014)
Manufacturing Dissent:
Modernization and the Onset of Major Nonviolent Resistance Campaigns.
Journal of Conflict Resolution
Academic article
-
Griffiths, Ryan;
Butcher, Charles.
(2013)
Introducing the international system (s) dataset (ISD), 1816–2011.
International Interactions
Academic article
-
Goldsmith, Benjamin;
Butcher, Charles;
Sowmya, Arcot;
Semenovich, Dimitri.
(2013)
Forecasting the onset of genocide and politicide: Annual out-of-sample forecasts on a global dataset, 1988–2003.
Journal of Peace Research
Academic article
Books
-
Butcher, Charles Robert;
Griffiths, Ryan.
(2025)
Before Colonization: Nonwestern States and Systems in the Nineteenth Century.
Columbia University Press
Columbia University Press
Academic monograph
Part of book/report
-
Butcher, Charles;
Griffiths, Ryan.
(2021)
Quantitative Approaches: Towards comparative and trans-regional approaches in Historical International Relations .
Routledge
Academic chapter/article/Conference paper
-
Butcher, Charles;
Anderton, Charles;
Brauer, Jurgen.
(2017)
Mass Killing.
John Wiley & Sons
Chapter
-
Butcher, Charles;
Goldsmith, Benjamin.
(2016)
Economic Risk Factors and Predictive Modeling of Genocides and Other Mass Atrocities.
Oxford University Press
Academic chapter/article/Conference paper
Knowledge Transfer
2021
-
Academic lectureBraithwaite, Jessica; Butcher, Charles; Pinckney, Jonathan. (2021) Somewhere over the rainbow? Opposition diversity and the outcomes of resistance episodes. International Studies Association International Studies Association Annual Convention , Las Vegas 2021-04-06 - 2021-04-09